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Predictions 2035: The Role of Performance-Based Financing in Future Supply Chains in Developing Countries


As we come to the end of the current era of Millennium Development Goals, the global health community has begun making predictions about the future state of global health in the next twenty years. These bold predictions are based on current socioeconomic trends mainly in developing countries, which suggest a significant reduction in the burden of commonly prevalent maternal and child health conditions over time. An example of these predictions is contained in the work recently published by The Lancet Commissions in December 2013, titled “Global health 2035: a world converging within a generation.”

The purpose of this paper is to provide these predictions. More importantly, we also aim to provide more context for these predictions by suggesting what implications they might have for the implementation of performance-based financing (PBF) schemes in public health supply chains.

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